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Six Things I Think I Think for IaaS in 2013
Another year, another dollar - or something like that

Another year, another dollar… or something like that.  It’s time for an update on the 6 things I think I think for Infrastructure-as-a-Service (IaaS) in the coming year!

1. Hybrid Cloud Computing

2012 Perspective: Hybridization WAS key in 2011 and I’m doubling down in 2012.  If you’ve paid attention to the consolidation in the industry, you’d best do the same.  The big boys are snapping up anything that smells like bridging the enterprise to the multi-tenant host.  Look for this trend to intensify.

2013 Perspective: VMware buys DynamicOpsRed Hat buys ManageIQCisco buys Cloupia.  Consider the consolidation trend intensified.  The big question for 2013 is what the big boys have in mind for the cool technologies they’ve acquired in 2012. Whatever they might have in mind, the signal from the customer is clear.  Hybrid cloud computing is considered critically important to wide-scale adoption of cloud computing in general.  As I highlighted earlier this year, as big as the cloud computing market is becoming it still pales in comparison to private IT operations. Hybrid cloud computing is correctly viewed as a technology tap to this underlying market.

2. Cloud Federation & Interoperability

2012 Perspective: I’ve spoken with some pretty big names in the business and scale is an issue with their regional plays in the market.  The challenge in 2011 for cloud federation was the degree of difficulty associated with interoperability.  There was much progress on this front in 2011 but I think before broad based federation goes from concept to reality there needs to be more plumbing.  2012 will be the year real interoperability tracks are laid as a foundation for scalable cloud federation.

2013 Perspective: We as an industry had the opportunity to lay down tracks for real cloud federation and interoperability at this time last year.  What happened was rather disappointing.  Basically, industry titans from OpenStack, Amazon, Citrix, and others all postured. I remember sitting in the crowd at GigaOm Structure when the first official shots were fired on the subject of API standardization.  What could have been a wonderful opportunity to seize the moment and end vendor lock-in before it ever started in cloud computing, big vendors did what they do best.  They opened up their respective Kimonos and bragged about the size of their case studies.  What a (albeit entertaining) waste of time and opportunity.

Because we all anticipate the cloud market, particularly IaaS, growing at a serious CAGR in 2013 there will be growing customer pressure to allow the movement and billing transfer of workloads between independent cloud operators.  The opportunity for a new or existing company to emerge with a solution to this problem will become significant in the coming year.

3. Cloud Ecosystem Enablement

2012 Perspective: VMware unveiled its plans to stitch together Vcloud operators at its big VMworld shindig, but this wasn’t the only giant making big bets on the cloud ecosystem concept.  Equinix, one of the world’s largest data center operators, hatched is master plan for a ‘Marketplace’ of Platform Equinix Partners and Synnex, one of the most powerful IT Distributors in North America took a huge step with its Cloudsolv application and services portal.  Watch what these three companies do in 2012 to drive ecosystem growth.

2013 Perspective: Dell, HP, Cisco, Arrow, Avnet, Telefonica, Singtel…just to name a few. Billions in unstructured cloud business potential spanning distribution, hardware and telecoms just waiting to be harnessed.  The lure of these types of captive markets will push the envelope on cloud ecosystem enablement despite a big challenge encountered in 2012.  That big challenge was the relative learning curve incurred when you cross-pollinate large singularly focused business units.

4. Emerging Cloud Communities

2012 Update:  By the middle of the 2nd quarter I was beginning to worry about this prediction.  Was I going a bit too far out on a limb?  Then, bang!  VMware announces the big deal with the NYSE.  Wow.  Talk about going big or going home.  The NYSE community cloud has a lot of eyes on it.  A large number of other vertical deals are hanging in the balance, hoping to learn what not to do when details of the NYSE project become more public.  I think this VMware play will be a big success and in 2012, you will see many other big players follow suit.

2013 Perspective: Do you hear that sound?  No? I didn’t think so.  There’s no sound in a vacuum that is the lack of follow up from the big NYSE deal in 2011.  No big pharma cloud.  No big banking cloud.  No big offshore financial cloud.

How come?

Would-be community cloud enablers in 2012 figured out what they needed to figure out, which they are hoping to do in 2013.  What they need to figure out has nothing to do with the technology and everything to do with operational and contractual concerns.  The commonality of vertical market integration resolves certain compliance risks, but it doesn’t mean private IT operators are ready, suited or even capable of offering a legitimate outbound customer service. Ask any CFO or CEO of a publically traded company about the idea of taking on the liability risk created by a new service that, oh by the way, has nothing to do with existing strategy. At a minimum in 2013 look for new corporate structures to emerge in order to facilitate offering community clouds as a service.

5. Channelization

2012 Perspective: I am still a firm believer in the channel and I’m still banking my company’s future on it.  However, the Channel failed to capitalize on the cloud opportunity in 2011 the way I thought it would.  Don’t get me wrong, the needle definitely moved.  But the cloud operators and the broader channel are still separated by an expertise gulf that is limiting how much cloud money flows via the intermediary.  The investment from the IaaS providers continues to be there.  Find me one IaaS services or software provider that doesn’t showcase a channel program today.  2012 will see the gulf shrink and the channel heat up because Distribution will hit its stride and carry with it more evidence of the gold rush I saw last year.

2013 Perspective: The channel didn’t emerge as the boon of cloud computing adoption in 2012, but it continued to make significant progress.   Cloud Sherpas recently raised $40M on a bet that it had figured out the model to integrate cloud into the enterprise.  That’s not a small bet on the channel intermediary concept.  There were other big wins in the market too.

In 2013 you will see vendors get very serious about forcing channel intermediaries to declare their allegiance.  Programs are maturing and dollars are flowing inbound to support the intermediary to the customer.  This is a sure sign that we are on the cusp of growing the cloud wave in a big way.

6. IaaS Futures Market

2012 Perspective: Spot market concepts made progress in 2011 but as expected were not able to truly capture the imagination of the market.   However, the groundswell around commodity compute resource trading is gaining momentum.  And in 2012 look for general progress in this area with a few players coming out of the woodwork to surprise some.

2013 Perspective: Fact – trading compute contracts is going to happen.  If you trust nothing else I write, trust me on this.

As predicted, a few players came out of the woodwork on this.  Specifically, the Eurex and Zimory (via TSystems) in Europe announced that they had formed a partnership to build a trading platform in 2013.

What is unclear is exactly how this is going to happen.  How will the market be organized?  Look for clarity to emerge in 2013 on this subject.

Since last year’s 6.1 bonus prediction was such a hit (um, cloud brokerage, anyone?) I will keep with the new tradition.  Here’s my scoop:  Keep an eye on the fall of old empires.  The world economy is definitely not what it was two years ago, but neither are some of these tech titans of yesterday:

Dell

Dell stock chart

Microsoft

Microsoft stock chart

Oracle

Oracle stock chart

HP

HP stock chart

Cloud Computing – the agent of change – can mean rebirth or extinction for some of the biggest companies to dominate the tech landscape in the last 30 years.  Look for significant strategic moves by some of the giants as they posture for survival in the new era.

Have a great 2013!

The post 6 things I think I think for IaaS in 2013 appeared first on 6fusion.

Read the original blog entry...

About John Cowan
John Cowan is co-founder and CEO of 6fusion. John is credited as 6fusion's business model visionary, bridging concepts and services behind cloud computing to the IT Service channel. In 2008, he along with his 6fusion collaborators successfully launched the industry's first single unit of meausurement for x86 computing, known as the Workload Allocation Cube (WAC). John is a 12 year veteran of business and product development within the IT and Telecommunications sectors and a graduate of Queen's University at Kingston.

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I’ve heard several clients complain about the curse of “orphaned analytics”; which are one-off analytics developed to address a specific business need but never “operationalized” or packaged for re-use across the organization. Unfortunately, many analytic organizations lack a framework for ensuring that the analytics are not being developed in a void. Organizations lack an overarching model to ensure that the resulting analytics and associated organizational intellectual capital can be captured and re-used across multiple use cases.

The post Jul. 30, 2016 10:45 AM EDT  Reads: 497

After many years of research, misfires and frightening Hollywood plotlines, artificial intelligence (AI) is finally coming into its own and beginning to demonstrate significant business value. The combined forces of big data, human expertise and AI are being used across industries as diverse as healthcare and manufacturing, as well as within all aspects of business. IT operations is one area that AI is beginning to contribute to enormously. IT infrastructures are changing rapidly today, particularly hybrid cloud environments. While they are increasingly dynamic and agile, they are also ext...
Every time I call up any customer support and hear the familiar 'all our representatives are busy dealing with other customers,' that my call is very important to them and from the more technologically advanced ones that I am 'fourth in the queue and my approximate wait time is 23 minutes,' I wonder why can't they simply call me back when they are free? They already have my contact number. Some of them actually play some music while I wait - which is still better than those who actually take that opportunity to inform me about their new products.
Enterprises and service providers are moving to cloud. Cloud providers are expanding their infrastructure, reach and ease of adoption. Users are becoming mobile, they access their information and services on their personal mobile devices first. We have seen game changers like Netflix and AirBnB become vastly successful by using the power of public cloud as their infrastructure of choice. Service providers like Microsoft, Adobe and Oracle are quickly moving their services to cloud, offering them as a SaaS subscription. So why are we seeing this new "app store" model of development, deliver...
Cloud computing has taken over the business world! With almost maniacal focus, single proprietors and Board Directors of the world's largest conglomerates see this new model as a "must do". This rapid shift is, in fact, accelerating. As Jeff Bertolucci observes in "The Shift to Cloud Services Is Happening Faster Than Expected": "According to the sixth annual Uptime Institute Data Center Industry Survey, which examines the big-picture trends shaping IT infrastructure delivery and strategy, the move to cloud services is accelerating. The Uptime Institute's February 2016 poll of more than 1,00...
Generally speaking, there are two kinds of companies in the world: data rich and data poor. The richest of the data rich are easy to name: Google, Facebook, Amazon, Apple. But you don’t need to be at the top of this list to use data to create value. You need to have the tools in place to turn information (data) into action. That’s what the data rich do that the data poor and the data middle class do not.
The Dean of the University of San Francisco School of Management, Elizabeth Davis, recently asked me to sit on a Big Data panel at the Direct Sales Association conference. I was given a 5-minute slot to “demystify” Big Data to a non-technical group of about 1,000 people; to help them understand where and how this thing called “Big Data” could help them. Well if you know me, I can barely introduce myself in 5 minutes. But this was particularly challenging for me, as I’m used to talking about Big Data with organizations with at least some level of Big Data experience or understanding (maybe the...
When the Internet of Things (IoT) started to emerge as a popular topic, I had to stop and ask myself if I was once again going to provide commentary on this emerging field. I enjoy exploring new technology shifts and illustrating how they can benefit various industries and businesses. It’s what I’ve done for the past 20 years through Java, XML, Web Services, SOA, Cloud and DevOps. However, every time I started writing on IoT I seemed to run into the same conundrum; am I commenting on this to jump on the hype bandwagon or because I see a need to represent the pragmatics of implementing and adop...
It feels like the barbarians are continually at the gate. We can’t seem to go more than a week before a new data breach is in the news, impacting potentially millions of individuals. The targets range from companies like Omni Hotels, which had been breached affecting up to 50,000 customers whose personal and credit card information was exposed, to North Carolina State University, where over 38,000 students’ personal information, including their SSNs, were at risk. As I mentioned in a recent blog ‘Internet of Things and Big Data – who owns your data?’, we have been storing our personal and cred...
Thomas Bitman of Gartner wrote a blog post last year about why OpenStack projects fail. In that article, he outlined three particular metrics which together cause 60% of OpenStack projects to fall short of expectations: Wrong people (31% of failures): a successful cloud needs commitment both from the operations team as well as from "anchor" tenants. Wrong processes (19% of failures): a successful cloud automates across silos in the software development lifecycle, not just within silos.
More than 95 percent of the world’s enterprises rely on SSH user keys to provide administrators and developers an effective means of gaining encrypted access to critical infrastructure: operating systems, applications, payment processing systems, databases, human resource and financial systems, routers, switches, firewalls and other network devices. It is a lifeline of traffic flow within our data centers, our cloud environments and how our third-party vendors and supply chain access our environments. It has done its job quietly and efficiently over the last two decades. Unfortunately, the acc...
I'm often guilty of sticking my head in the sand, ignoring very small details that could turn into big problems later on. Like when Netflix told me my credit card was about to expire, but it seemed like such a boring task, so I ignored them...till the day Netflix stopped working. I grumbled at the TV for awhile, then wasted another half hour remembering my login details and finding the credit card update page. Clearly, I should have followed the easy link in the first place. It was my oversight that led me to waste time and my good mood updating my info. I consider missing my favorite televis...
Clouds are typically classified into four different topologies: private, public, community and hybrid clouds. Let’s focus on hybrid clouds: what are the use cases that require this topology, what are the challenges, and who stands to benefit from the hybrid cloud trend? First off, a definition: A hybrid cloud is a topology in which more than one cloud infrastructure is utilized to solve a particular problem.
It seems like every day we see reminders of the importance of thorough security testing from all areas of the software world. Security has become an especially critical consideration for APIs in recent years. Organizations rely on APIs to share and receive information - either from a third party or between internal applications - so the level of security between these applications is critical for anyone who uses them.
Competitors can't compete, and leaders can't lead if they don't know the rules of the game. Understanding how points are scored, and what is required to win is key to any competition. In the age of digital transformation there are key rules to learn: Data is the modern commercial battlefield Information dominance is the strategic goal
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Past SYS-CON Events
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Cloud Expo 2011 Allstar Conference Faculty

S.F.S.
Dell

Singer
NRO

Pereyra
Oracle

Ryan
OpSource

Butte
PwC

Leone
Oracle

Riley
AWS

Varia
AWS

Lye
Oracle

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AppZero

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RightScale

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Dell Boomi

Hillier
CiRBA

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Layer 7 Tech

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NYT

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Oracle

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